Monday, July 6, 2009

The Year 2020













Scene from "Back to the Future 2. Courtesy of Google images:

http://www.realliving.com.ph/blog/wp-content/uploads/2009/05/hillvallweynew1.jpg



It's crazy to think that 2020 is a mere 10 years, 5 months and 26 days away... but hey...who's counting?!? A great deal of predictions may be done through looking at the exponential growth of technology and populations...but enough of how one might predict what is going to happen...What do I think will happen?

2020 evokes images of flying cars and holograms - Back to the Future 2 showed this as the future in 2015 back in the late 80's. Do I think we will have flying cars and hover boards? Maybe...but will they be common - doubtful.

There is a great deal of talk in looking at traditional classroom settings and labeling them obsolete by the room 2020. While I feel that a good deal of learning may be done on-line or in a virtual classroom setting, I feel that the classroom will still hold purpose. Humans are social creatures and inherently like to be around other people - why else do people huddle in droves on a patch of beach in the middle of July to watch explosions in the sky? We can already podcast fireworks and we've been able to watch them on TV for the last 15 or 20 years - but yet every year thousands of people happily clamor to a densely packed area to see them in real life. Ah, but I digress.

True, we text. True, we skype. True we blog and keep in touch with others through social networking sites, but these virtual conversations can never fully replace real conversation in person...can they?!?

I picture students more responsible for personal learning in the year 2020. I think that lessons may be given by experts through video web conferences; maybe even through holographic images. I believe students will still go to school, though time spent in the actual classroom may be diminished. Children will attend class not necessarily for lectures - but for types of hands-on learning and field studies that may not be accomplished through computers and the web. Books, in paper form, will be all but obsolete and students will instead be responsible for reading assignments on hand-held devices similar to iPhones, only more powerful and capable of holding much more information. I don't think students will need computers in the traditional sense because they will all have this technology on their phones and this will be the primary portal of communication and of payment. Money will be close to obsolete and people will use the info on their phones to pay for everything.

I feel homework will be in the form of real-world projects and applications and the primary languages spoken in schools will be Spanish, Mandarin and English.

Just a few thoughts - we will see and of course there is the cliche - only time will tell.